Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 96.684607 106.968453 117.465383 128.955752 141.154363 153.694065 167.533950
2025-11-30 80.622261 95.929891 112.261887 130.873620 151.387271 173.204600 198.059826
2025-12-07 67.420233 86.103173 106.891400 131.463562 159.448202 190.077602 225.887003
2025-12-14 55.968364 76.722049 100.781326 130.211691 164.736996 203.488115 249.805016
2025-12-21 48.291890 70.741379 97.762615 131.830233 172.819345 219.797644 276.964964
2025-12-28 43.140642 67.162375 97.067422 135.772652 183.346708 238.821365 307.316437
2026-01-04 38.111200 63.097858 95.259607 137.946021 191.472539 254.884373 334.213981
2026-01-11 34.340252 60.235324 94.605179 141.258764 200.789591 272.278972 362.711913
2026-01-18 30.860635 57.355715 93.597868 143.860132 209.051384 288.323553 389.618906
2026-01-25 25.183256 50.622464 86.837332 138.464756 206.812587 291.215152 400.399309
2026-02-01 21.044112 45.675464 82.099331 135.358665 207.176774 297.080295 414.630747
2026-02-08 18.055233 42.160085 79.086552 134.327155 210.033560 305.928683 432.466073
2026-02-15 15.869064 39.758462 77.589823 135.375539 215.726835 318.570398 455.365833
2026-02-22 14.789185 39.161109 78.754466 140.184477 226.522663 337.871717 486.840121
2026-03-01 13.244368 37.513598 78.157802 142.376677 233.749868 352.613214 512.674820
2026-03-08 11.352428 34.923191 75.859172 141.923112 237.250539 362.471919 532.331323
2026-03-15 10.163940 33.547371 75.402412 144.115427 244.378032 377.094694 558.149358
2026-03-22 9.474923 33.114421 76.455423 148.561672 254.681038 395.971485 589.554861
2026-03-29 8.537071 31.991686 76.242145 151.015617 262.153912 411.117247 616.216364
2026-04-05 7.860106 31.351315 76.794076 154.612255 271.247692 428.456894 645.796717
2026-04-12 7.136744 30.480677 76.865837 157.417208 279.202365 444.302563 673.510963
2026-04-19 5.466287 26.867909 71.714658 151.718578 274.678062 443.178047 678.934078
2026-04-26 4.316778 24.281577 68.202374 148.434654 273.504122 446.476929 690.085666